Prospective Evaluation of Applied Energy Research and Development at DOE (Phase One): A First Look Forward (2005)
Based on the findings of the NRC’s 2001 report Energy Research at DOE: Was It Worth It?, Congress directed DOE to request the NRC to develop a methodology for assessing prospective benefits. The first phase of this project-development of the methodology-began in December 2003. The methodology includes a rigorous definition of benefits to be used consistently for all programs; scenarios about future world states that are common to all technologies; a "decision tree framework" for ensuring that the role of government support, key technology, and market uncertainties are considered in the benefits calculation; a results matrix that summarizes the data and estimated benefits; and simplified models for calculating benefits at pivotal stages of each project. This report presents the results of phase one, revealing some weaknesses in the methodology that need to be addressed and the importance of allocating some resources to support the use of the methodology. Phase two will work on making the methodology more robust and explore related issues, and subsequent phases will apply the methodology to review the prospective benefits of different DOE fossil energy and energy efficiency R&D programs.
- Energy Research at DOE: Was It Worth It? Energy Efficiency and Fossil Energy Research 1978 to 2000
- Letter Report for the Committee on Prospective Benefits of DOE’s Energy Efficiency and Fossil Energy R&D Programs
- Partnerships for Solid-State Lighting: Report of a Workshop
- Prospective Evaluation of Applied Energy Research and Development at DOE (Phase Two)